Friday, December 29, 2006

SEC Bowl Picks

These picks are minus the Indy Bowl, because, well we forgot and minus Junior, because, well because I’m not sure where he is right now. Last I heard from him he was going snipe hunting with some idiot relatives we have in Louisiana. He might be dead, I don’t know. As they say…..the show must go on.

Before the picks, a word about bowl games. We hate them. Sure it’s football, which is never a bad thing and there really isn’t anything better than the orgy of football that takes place in the last three or four days of the year (of course that is when all the games were played in the last three or four days of the year instead of stretching into the second week of January). The gambler in us hates bowl games. It’s the same shade of our personality that dislikes the first two or three weeks of the NFL and college season. Trends fall apart and you never really know what you are going to get. A month off from playing can be very disruptive to a football team’s momentum at the end of the season or allows injured players that weren’t playing at full potential at the end of the season to heal and return. Then you factor in the desire to play the game and these things are a crapshoot. Please tell us what winning the Pioneer Pure Vision Bowl means. Umm, nothing really. The lone exception is the BCS Championship game. There is something to play for in that game, the mythical national title. But, let’s face it, most of the games pit two teams that don’t match up well and are usually not very good games. There are exceptions every year and there will be some this year, but on the whole the entire process is kind of overrated. Then again, we feel that the first weekend of the NCAA tournament is overrated too, so maybe you should just click on The Professional Cheerleader Blog and leave us.

When gambling on bowl games, we tend to do one of two things: 1) bet the money line if the numbers work in our favor or 2) tease lines to create obvious advantages. In the end, you are better off, just playing in a pick ‘em pool. However, duty calls, so onward…


Music City Bowl – Clemson at Kentucky – Clemson favored by 10.5

We really like Kentucky this year. This year’s team has been a refreshing change of pace to the years of mediocrity that have piled up. The smart money is for Clemson to blow them out of the water. Kentucky has struggled when facing a team with a decent defense and Clemson has been solid all year long. True, the Tigers haven’t faced a quarterback near the caliber of Andre Woodson, but they have allowed exactly 6 touchdowns through the air all year. Kentucky meanwhile will have to focus on stopping the run, something they don’t do very well. The motivation factor does favor Kentucky. This is a true reward for a program that doesn’t excel much on the football field. The stadium will be packed with Kentucky supporters and the kids will probably be generally excited. Clemson might look at the holiday trip to Nashville as a disappointment after being early ACC championship favorites. We like Clemson to win, but they probably won’t cover the 10.5.


Liberty Bowl – South Carolina at Houston – South Carolina favored by 5

Probably one of the better matchups of the bowl season. Houston has a bevy of playmakers at the skill positions and can score points in a flurry, but they have only played one defense that would be considered comparable to South Carolina and they only scored 13 points against Miami. South Carolina’s offense was stop and go all year long. At times they scored at will and showed flashes of the old Spurrier Fun and Gun. However, the offense does have a tendency to get behind in the down and distance department and that can create problems. While Houston might have an advantage in the skill player department, the game is won and lost in the trenches and South Carolina has the advantage there. We like the Gamecocks and we see them covering the 5 points fairly easily.


Chick-fil-A Bowl – Virginia Tech at Georgia – Virginia Tech favored by 2.5

The Bulldogs could not have hand picked a better matchup for their bowl game. Virginia Tech relies on its defense to win games and that is what has been Georgia’s calling card this year. Expect very low scoring (we are talking baseball game scoring) and a fairly quick pace. There really isn’t much else to say on this one save that the motivation factor favors Georgia who would like to finish the season strong to prove that they aren’t going away in the SEC. Not that anyone thought they would. This one is a pick ‘em to us, so we will go with Georgia to win and cover.

Outback Bowl – Tennessee at Penn State – Tennessee favored by 4

In the annual “Which is the Best Conference” competition, this game and the Capital One Bowl are the two that make or break the SEC every year. This game features two teams that won all the games they were supposed to win and none of the ones they weren’t. Both teams feature better than average defenses with offenses that can explode, but generally grind it out. Clearly, Tennessee has an advantage in the skill position players, but along the front lines, there is equality. That being said, Tennessee has an advantage in the motivation department. After a disappointing season last year, they are back in sunny Florida facing a good quality school with a chance to make a statement for next year. We like the Vols both as outright winners and to cover the 4 point spread.

Capital One Bowl – Arkansas at Wisconsin – Arkansas favored by 2.5

One guarantee on this game, it will be the fastest bowl game played this season. Both teams employ offenses of the running variety. We like the tailbacks in this game, where else do you find three high caliber running backs like PJ Hill, Darren McFadden, and Felix Jones? Yep, nowhere. We could go on and on about the stats and various scenarios, but it is simple, which team’s quarterback limits mistakes, manages the game, and completes enough passes on third down to keep drives alive? Our guess is Wisconsin wins back to back Capital One Bowl games and covers the number to boot.

Sugar Bowl – Louisiana State at Notre Dame – Louisiana State favored by 9.5

Everything points LSU’s way in this one. Notre Dame struggles when facing teams with speedy defenses and wide receivers. LSU has plenty of both. Notre Dame hasn’t beaten a team worth anything all year long. LSU is one of the best teams in the best conference in the country. Notre Dame is traveling a long way to get to New Orleans. LSU is playing in its backyard where the Superdome will be packed with rabid, crazed, drunk Cajuns. Clearly, LSU is going to wipe the Superdome field with the Irish, right? Right? Well, call us crazy, but we have been saying that there will be a surprise in either the Sugar Bowl or the Mythical National Championship game. We think it is here because LSU plays to the level of their competition and well, Les Miles. Notre Dame wins a high scoring affair that will probably be the best bowl game of the year and immediately crowns itself with next year’s national title.


Mythical National Title Game – Ohio State at Florida – Ohio State favored by 7.5

We think the number of analysts out there predicting a surprise by Florida is influenced by a reaction to last year’s premature crowning of Southern Cal prior to the Rose Bowl. Don’t get us wrong, we like Florida and feel that they are the only team that truly deserves to play Ohio State. We just don’t think they have enough offensively to get by what is a tough Ohio State defense. Plus, let’s look at the two guys playing the most important position on the field. Hmmm, Troy Smith…..hmmm Chris Leak……hmmmmm. We aren’t predicting a monster game for Smith because Heisman winners seem to struggle in their bowl games. However, Smith wins games for Ohio State. Leak just guides his team to victories and can lose games for them as well. Florida will play it close unlike their last visit to the desert, but in the end Ohio State will prove what has been proven all year, they are the best team in college football.


Cotton Bowl – Auburn at Nebraska – Auburn favored by 1.5

The season for our favorite team has been up and down. Home losses to Arkansas and Georgia have left a bitter taste in our mouths that can’t seem to overwhelm the joy of victories over LSU, Florida, and, of course, Alabama. However, we just don’t see the storyline of Auburn being upset about the Cotton Bowl. The matchup is to Auburn’s liking and quite honestly other than a BCS bowl, a holiday trip to Dallas is about as good as it was going to get. Surely facing Wisconsin or Penn State in Florida wouldn’t have been in the favor of a team whose defense has a penchant for allowing big plays on defense. Really, this is an interesting matchup of two teams that are identical images of each other. Both run similar offenses with quarterbacks that are steady and solid leaders who try to keep drives alive with their brains instead of their arm strength. Nebraska has chugged along with a pretty good record and has met expectations. Auburn’s record is close to what was expected, the disappointment is due more to Arkansas’ surprising run than Auburn’s failures.

Another interesting angle to this game is the month and a half layoff. The time off has allowed both Cox and Irons to get well. Neither was the player they were last year and Cox’s ineffectiveness drove the offense into a shell of its former self. By the end of the year, Irons wasn’t even the best back on the team. We are interested to see how both respond in the game. Also of interest is the wide receiver position. Someone better show us something to get us excited for next year. We are talking to you Rod Smith and Preache Rodriguez.

As goes the defense, as has gone the team. When the defense plays like crazed pitbulls, the entire team responds. When the defense is flat and gives up big plays on third down, the team plays like a bunch of girls. We have stated already that the matchup favors Auburn. Nebraska’s West Coast offense is predicated on short yardage passing with mixes of the run. It will look fairly similar to Auburn’s offense. We have been impressed with Zac Taylor. He seems to be a twin of Brandon Cox. Gutsy and effective, but lacking that big play arm. In short, we like him, he can play quarterback for us any day.

The motivation angle is important in the game between two fairly evenly matched teams. Both teams are trying to finish off somewhat exceptional seasons. Both teams are trying to generate excitement for next season. Nebraska is trying to show that it has made another step back under Callahan. Auburn is trying to erase the disappointment of a January failure last year and show that it is now firmly entrenched as a Top 10 program.

This should be very entertaining. We like Auburn to win by oh a touchdown or so. But hey we are biased, so don’t listen to us.

Wednesday, December 20, 2006

Cheerleader of the week

This weeks Cheerleader comes from the San Diego Chargers...


As usual, the entire gallery can be seen here.

Tuesday, December 19, 2006

The Real God's Team

We would imagine that this is a busy time at the Vatican. So, it is surprising to catch this snippet of news coming out of Vatican City yesterday.

This would definitely be interesting. We would imagine there are a fair number of Catholic men who play soccer making the recruitment very easy. "What you don't want to play for the Church? Hmm, ever hear of excommunication?"

God's team no longer wears Blue and Gold

Just our guess, but the Church probably doesn't want to get involved with some of the uglier aspects of modern professional athletes. Imagine this confession:

"Forgive me father for I have sinned, it has been three days since my last confession."

"That's okay my son...wait, Rovario, is that you? Good grief. What now?"

"Father, I have committed some impure deeds. I snorted coke off this hooker's ass, while I was banging her 17-year old daughter. Then I killed her husband and stole all of the furniture from his house."

(Sigh) "Well, your penance is an Our Father and two Hail Marys. Just be glad that you put that sweet header in against AC Milan last weekend otherwise you would totally have to self-flagellate."

Where Have You Been?

Other than brief interruptions for the Cheerleader of the Week (and those will continue), we have been silent for a few days. Well, everyone needs a break. Let’s see what has happened while we were gone?

- Florida beat Arkansas to win the SEC title. Obviously, Junior and I were surprised, not totally shocked, but surprised. Florida was the better team, but Arkansas certainly didn’t help themselves by a) trying to field a punt on the 5-yard line or b) deciding that passing was the way to go. Oh well, congrats Gators.

- Michigan got jumped by Florida to lose out in the quest to get beat by Ohio State in Glendale. Michael has been trying to swallow the bitter pill, but it just isn’t going down very well. And no, we don’t have any pity for him, Michigan is a one loss team. They had their chance. No, it isn’t a very good argument, but it beats the excuses put out there a few years ago in defense of leaving out an undefeated team. I mean seriously, Michigan should have scheduled better out of conference, or not completely sucked last year, or have some iota of tradition. In the end, that would have never happened to Alabama because, you know, Alabama has won 1,352 national titles.

- Auburn’s basketball team is doing this crazy rendition of the 1998-99 team. WTF? We expect losing from the basketball team. Shit, the team is getting a new arena that will only be full for graduation and shitty Widespread Panic/Kenny Chesney concerts. I mean there are standards to uphold.

- This is a little old, but David “The Swimming God” Marsh is going to “pursue other opportunities.” Those “other opportunities” just happen to be in North Carolina working for U.S. Swimming. Don’t get us started on the shameful way that Marsh was treated. You think Mike Shula was left out in the cold? Marsh, he of 10 national titles (and those are real ones, not the mythical football titles), had to quit to get a new pool built. I know, I know no one goes to watch swim meets. Well, no one goes to watch the basketball team either. Marsh’s decision was probably made a little easier during the worst halftime in the history of modern college football when the stadium announcer failed to recognize him as the coach of the Men’s and Women’s National Title teams.

Worst halftime ever. Warning, your ears may bleed

- Alabama still has not hired a football coach and we don’t expect anyone to take control of that mass of ridiculousness until well into January. Don’t worry though, the daily updates are not going away as some people do not deal in reality and continue to beat a dead horse.

- The NFL season is slowly winding down. An update, the Texans suck. Jason Campbell has looked decent at times for Buford’s Skins. We both agree that the Saints are ensuring unrealistic expectations that will not be fulfilled because…well because they are the Saints. And on a whole, no one in the NFL is dominating.

- Speaking of the NFL, we truly can’t comprehend why, when the debate about best quarterback in the league comes up, analysts fall over themselves trying to add another name next to Peyton Manning. I know the guy has never won anything, yeah yeah bite me. Did any of you watch that game last night? Holy crap, he was unconscious. Now come on, if you compare every QB in the league at their best, there is no one even close. That being said, the Colts still won’t win the SuperBowl this year. Sorry Colts fans.

-Finally, we want to pass along our best wishes to all of you idiots that waited until the last minute to buy your Christmas gifts. Enjoy the throngs of people rushing around like complete idiots looking for the new Justin Timberlake CD for their 10-year old daughter. You could always do what we do, give such crappy gifts that no one wants you to buy them anything. ‘Tis the season.

Thursday, December 14, 2006

NFL Cheerleader of the Week

This weeks cheerleader comes from the San Diego Chargers.

As always, the entire shoot can be seen here.

Friday, December 08, 2006

Spurrier? No. Saban? Nyet. Hot Rod?

I wonder if the conversation went anything like this:

Mal Moore: "Coach Rodriguez, Mal Moore here with the University of Alabama. How'd you like to coach the Tide this year?"

Rich Rodriguez: "Gee, I don't know...."

Mal: "What do you mean, you don't know? This is your chance to coach at Alabama."

Rich: "Let me get back to you, will ya, Mal? I got a guy on the other line asking about some white walls."

Who's got next?

(HT: EDSBS for the shirt)

Wednesday, December 06, 2006

NFL Cheerleader of the Week

Daddy's pick for cheerleader of the week, from the Miami Dolphins.


The rest of the gallery can be seen here.

Step away from the ledge....

Junior is on suicide watch today as word is coming down that Auburn might have its own coaching search to conduct following the Cotton Bowl. Evidently, Al is quite serious about pursuing the Stanford job. So for Gorgeous Al Borges, Junior and I have come up with a list of pros and cons for the Stanford job.

Pros: New stadium, Free golf lessons from Tiger, Napa Wine Country a short drive away, and access to ground breaking research on particle physics at the Stanford Linear Accelerator Center home of several Nobel Laureates that surely can help work out complex pass routes and blocking schemes.

Cons: Earthquakes, Training table consists of tofu, rice cakes, and soy milk, Earthquakes, the state of California is on a mission to eliminate anything that can even be remotely perceived as fun (smoking, strip joints, drinking, pro set offenses with mutiple formations), and did we mention Earthquakes.


Definitely not a tofu and bean sprout salad kind of guy

In all seriousness, Al has earned it and we say good luck to him if he goes. Now, I just have to go check on Junior, he has been in the bathroom a really long time.

Monday, December 04, 2006

Baby You Can Drive My Car.....

The final power poll of the season will be out later this week and we will surely have some comment on the SEC Championship and the bowl picture.

For now, a little recap on Alabama's head coaching search thus far.


Other songs considered: Can't Buy Me Love, Help!, and Helter Skelter

Saturday, December 02, 2006

SEC Picks - Championship Edition

We are saving the Power Poll until after the SEC Championship game, since it would be a little redundant to do two of them really close together. So, other than watching with awe and wonder at what the genius Mal Moore will do with his coaching vacancy, we have been piddling around at work and dreaming Saturday and wonderful football matchups.


Mal Moore - Souper Genius


Last week saw Buford going 6-0 and 4-2. More excellence from yours truly. Junior? He turned in a measly 4-2 and 3-3. So, I am easily in front with an overall record of 64-10 (36-32-1). Junior is looking up from the bottom of the hill as he is 58-16 (30-36-1).

This weekend the SEC Title game will take place. We are both hoping that Atlanta enjoys the influx of jean shorts and men who squeal like pigs.


Arkansas at Florida – Florida favored by 2.5

Junior: Well, the anti-BCS in me is screaming for a Gator win here. Nothing would make me happier than another fine mess. I just don’t see how Florida is the favorite and can win in a shootout, since I know McFadden and Jones are going to run for 300 yards total. No disrespect to UF’s defense, but the running backs at Arkansas shredded LSU’s defense. On defense, Arkansas isn’t great, I just don’t have faith in Leak/Tebow to finish drives. Arkansas 38, Florida 31.

Buford: I’m with Junior. I like both teams. I think both teams deserve to be in the top ten, maybe even the top five. Plus, I will go out on a limb and say that this will probably be one of the better SEC championship games in recent history. Neither team is remarkably better than the other. In the end, I just trust Arkansas’ ability to control the clock and keep the ball away from Chris Leak and Company more than I trust the Gator’s ability to toss the ball all over the place, score quickly, and keep pace. Arkansas 31, Florida 24.

Normally we only cover SEC games, but we take a break to pick what is really an event. A chance to watch two football teams filled with actual student athletes. Without further ado, the Army-Navy picks.

Army at Navy – Navy favored by 20

Junior: Semper Fi! GO NAVY! BEAT ARMY! Navy 42, Army 10.

Buford: I think the old Devil Dog is getting the best of him. Those Marines can be a little crazy sometimes. All that time sniffing shoe polish and singing little ditties about his rifle and his gun have turned Pfc Junior a little loco. Oh, there is no way Army wins. But there is also no way Navy covers. Pride is what it is all about here. Navy 35, Army 27.